Daily College Fantasy Football QB Picks – Week 11 (Late Saturday)

Like last week, I’ll likely play more of the late slate of games. Not really sure what it is – but my win rates in the late games is far higher than the AM slates. It’s possible because I’m on the west coast, I’m more familiar with the PAC-12/West Coast teams, because if you’re in SEC, BIG10, ACC parts of the country it’s like west coast college football doesn’t exist. Plus there’s the time zone difference, which all seems to work out in my favor.

The sites are somewhat different in how they divided up the late game slates. I will likely spread action on both sites because I can see the advantages of a smaller slate of games to pick from on Fanduel, but you’ve got a deeper selection of games on DK – which might throw some people off, especially if they filled out their FD lineup before DK. Either way, looks like a full day of fun!

Fanduel/Draftkings
Memphis @ Houston (-7) 71 o/u
Arkansas @ LSU (-7.5) 53.5 o/u
Oregon @ Stanford (-9.5) 69 o/u
Minnesota @ Iowa (-10) 45.5 o/u
Oklahoma @ Baylor (-2.5) 77.5 o/u
Utah (-6) @ Arizona 62 o/u
Oregon State @ Cal (-21.5) 60.5 o/u
Washington State @ UCLA (-10) 65.5 o/u
Draftkings Only
Tulsa @ Cincinnati (-18) 76.5 o/u
BYU (-5.5) @ Missouri 38.5 o/u
UNLV @ Colorado State (-7.5) 59 o/u
Temple (-3) @ South Florida 44 o/u
New Mexico @ Boise State (-30.5) 57 o/u
Wyoming @ San Diego State (-24.5) 49 o/u
Fresno State @ Hawaii (-5) 55 o/u

Gunner Kiel – Cincinnati
$8,000 Draftkings
Got to love this matchup as Tulsa has been shredded all season through the air.

Greg Ward – Houston
$8,500 Draftkings
Memphis can stop a running QB from having a big game, but Ward can throw too. I think he’s able to move Houston down the field with the pass – now you just hope he converts some of the red-zone looks into rushing TDs.

Paxton Lynch – Memphis
$8,600 Draftkings
I like this matchup as Houston just gave up 500+ yards to Gunner Kiel. Despite his performance dipping the last 2 weeks, I still like Lynch. On the season Houston has more INTs than TDs given up, and they can pressure the QB, so I will be picking my spots with Lynch.

Kevin Hogan – Stanford
$7,600 Fanduel
$6,800 Draftkings
I think he’s useful on both sites this week. He’s not a tournament QB. He’s not a 100% of cash game lineup QB. However on DK especially, sometimes you want to run a mid-tier QB that is consistent for cash games and I think Hogan is the guy.

Travis Wilson – Utah
$6,400 Draftkings
$7,200 Fanduel
He’d really have to push the edge of his range on Fanduel to produce value, but I could see him having a good week in this spot against Arizona – one of the worst defenses in the Pac-12.

Quinton Flowers – South Florida
$5,300 Draftkings
Temple is a good team, but they can give up some big plays/stats to QBs like Flowers. At these prices it’s hard to not like him. These running QBs always have a high injury risk so he’s not in 100% of my lineups but I like this spot for Flowers.

Baker Mayfield – Oklahoma
$7,900 Draftkings
He’d have to play well above average to reach value on FD, on DK I could see him being more viable since Baylor is capable of giving up lots of yards and Baker has some scrambling ability too.

Luke Falk – Washington State
$8,200 Draftkings
$9,500 Fanduel
My boy Luke is only a tournament play this week because I think he could easily be in that 2-3 TD range, which at these prices, you’d probably rather look elsewhere. A low-owned Falk/WR stack in a tournament might be somewhat appealing – and because Falk is one of the few QBs that always has 5+ TD upside he’s viable there.

Brett Rypien – Boise State
$6,700 Draftkings
Should be fresh off a bye week. Game could get ugly very quickly via the run game so Rypien is risky, but there could be upside here at these prices with only 2 TDs.

Jarrett Stidham – Baylor
$7,800 Draftkings
This guy is responsible for my biggest week ever in college football DFS, so I’m biased. For some reason not that many people played him in cash games last week … I thought it was a no-brainer. Anyway, I think he’s likely to be lower owned than typical this week because Oklahoma can play good defense. However, there’s still enough mystery around what Stidham is capable of that I’ll throw him in some lineups again this week. On Fanduel I think his price is baked in a ton of upside so I’ll pass.

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