Daily College Fantasy Football QB Picks – Week 4 (Thursday/Friday)

Week 4 of the daily college fantasy football season kicks off on Thursday 9/24 with 1 game followed by 2 more games on Friday 9/25. There’s lots of injuries for only 3 games in this slate, making picking a QB somewhat more tricking that usual.

Thur/Fri Daily CFB – WR Picks
Thur/Fri Daily CFB – RB Picks

Here are the games you are choosing players from this week:
Cincinnati at Memphis (-10.5) 64 o/u
Boise State (-2.5) @ Virginia 50 o/u
Stanford (-15.5) @ Oregon State ????

 


If you’re looking to construct a lineup that I would consider to be ‘safe’ – Paxton Lynch and Matt Johns appear to have the best odds of performing well given the situations. Seth Collins would get a slight bump up in my opinion if Stanford QB Kevin Hogan is ruled out. In that case, Oregon State might be presented with some short fields, leading to more opportunities to score than normal against a more experienced QB.Paxton Lynch – Memphis
$9,000 DraftKings
$9,100 FanDuel
By far the #1 on the Turs/Fri daily college fantasy football slate of games. Has gotten better each week nearly across the board. I wouldn’t expect a similar performance to last week where he ripped up a really poor Bowling Green pass defense, however Cincinnati turns the ball over quite a bit so Lynch should have some short fields to work with.Gunner Kiel – Cincinnati (Doubtful)
I don’t think he’s going to play. If it starts looking like he will I’ll adjust his ranking. Personally playing the backup would be a gambling selection that is only appropriate in those types of situations/games. I think the backup will be turnover prone going on the road to Memphis. 9/23 Update: Head coach said good chance he plays. Stay tuned. If he’s playing, he’s a slight risk at re-injury, but given the matchup – he’d be a solid play almost across the board. 9/24 Update: Listed as probable.

Matt Johns – Virginia
$6,300 DraftKings
$6,800 FanDuel
I think if he can get you 2 total TDs on Friday you’d be happy. You’d also be happy if he can keep his turnovers in check. From a value perspective, given the limited games to choose from, Johns will likely be a popular selection because his job isn’t in any kind of uncertainty.

Seth Collins – Oregon State
$7,700 DraftKings
$6,900 FanDuel
I have no idea which Stanford team will show up on Friday … and neither does anyone at Stanford – and that’s saying a lot considering the IQs at that place. Traditionally you avoid Stanford in almost all spots, but when the Cardinal faced a team with a legitimate passing attack, they got touched up for 3 TDs, but that was one of the best QBs in the nation. On FanDuel, Collins is a more tempting play because of his relatively low salary, but he’s not a guy I’d start across all my lineups given the matchup.

Kevin Hogan – Stanford (????)
$7,300 DraftKings
$8,500 FanDuel
You’re going to need to do an injury status check all week on Hogan. He’s not supposed to practice Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday – but will try to give it a go on Thursday. You’ll want to do an injury check then. The matchup isn’t great, but it’s not bad either considering the limited slate.

Thomas Stuart – Brett Rypien Boise State
I’m not really recommending playing Stuart or Rypien in a lot of cases, but in certain contrarian spots I could see starting one/both of them. Basically you’re gambling by playing one of these two. I could see playing both in 2 QB leagues if you really want to gamble. The coaches have indicated that both will get snaps, but said, like running backs, whoever gets the hot hand will likely get the bulk of the snaps. If you pick the right one, you might do well against a Virginia team who’ve given up 9 TDs and 261 yards per game so far this season.

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