It’s been an interesting week. I’m setup really good in my Tues-Fri H2H I entered on FanDuel thanks to the Stanford RB … but I’m worried our opportunity to play daily fantasy might be coming to an end soon. For many of you living in Nevada, Florida, New York and other states – the threat or realization that you can’t play is already come true. Unfortunately these daily sites are run by really inexperienced founders who haven’t greased enough influential people to stop the negative momentum that is surrounding DFS. Our only hope is the leagues/investors can try and stop the bleeding … we’ll see.
With that being the backdrop, I’ll probably play significantly more than I normally do just because DFS as we know it might be dying before it really even got to take off.
Iowa (-2.5) @ Northwestern 41 o/u
Louisiana Tech @ Miss State (-13.5) 60 o/u
Miss (-10.5) @ Memphis 69 o/u
Purdue @ Wisconsin (-23.5) 48 o/u
Tulsa @ E. Carolina (-11.5) 78 o/u
Texas Tech (-31) @ Kansas 75.5 o/u
Louisville @ Florida State (-7) 46 o/u
West Virginia @ Baylor (-21.5) 75 o/u
Akron @ Bowling Green (-11.5) 67 o/u
Alabama (-4.5) @ Texas A&M 53.5 o/u
Michigan State @ Michigan (-8) 51 o/u
Nebraska @ Minnesota (-2) 47.5 o/u
Oklahoma (-4) @ Kansas State 55.5 o/u
Rutgers @ Indiana 65 o/u
VT @ Miami (-6) 51 o/u
Oregon State @ Washington State (-8) 63 o/u
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina (-2.5) 43.5 o/u
Okay, so I haven’t filled out any lineups for the early slate yet as I wake up pretty early anyway – so I’ll do that tomorrow. But my plan in my head is to fade Dalvin Cook, Shock Linwood, Travis Greene, and Joseph Yearby (in tournaments) because I’m not in love with the matchup and I think I’d rather pay up for QB/WR. In cash games I’ll sprinkle them in as needed, but will likely focus on the group of RB’s I have below. Not listed in any real order other than probably perceived risk.
Ralph Webb – Vanderbilt
Webb will likely be in a large percentage of my cash game lineups because I think this is a good spot for him to get 25+ carries.
Zack Langer – Tulsa
His value is greater on DK where his salary is going to make Langer a popular play – likely across the board. East Carolina has given up 4.1 yards per carry, a rather hefty 14 TDs and 187 yards per game to runners. O/U is the highest on the board. While East Carolina is a favorite at home, I think Langer still gets 20+ carries.
Jordan Canzeri – Iowa
I wasn’t on Canzeri like others were last week and I got burned for 43 carries and 256 yards against a team I thought would put up a better fight. There was enough action in the other games that I was able to win 55.56% of my H2H, but that’s basically breaking even and I dodged a bullet. This week expect even deeper ownership of Canzeri because his price tag hasn’t risen nearly as much as his fantasy stock has. Does face a well above average Northwestern rush defense that has only given up 4 TDs, but give any NCAA running back 30+ carries and it doesn’t really matter too much. We’ll see what happens.
Kenneth Dixon – LTech
Mississippi State is a mixed bag on the run defense side of the ball. The team has yeilded just 3.7 yards per carry on a rather hefty 274 carries. That’s good for 170 yards per game and 7 total rushing TDs. I’m not scared of the matchup, but I wouldn’t call it ideal. In that case, Dixon might make have more tournament appeal since he’s coming off injury but is typically around 25 touches which is somewhat rare in college football.
Dare Ogunbowale – Wisconsin
This has the makings of a pretty good spot. Purdue has given up a hefty 5.1 yards per carry, 11 rushing TDs and 216 yards per game to RBs. Wisconsin is a heavy favorite & likely to run the ball deep into this game. RB TAIWAN DEAL is questionable, and the coach said he was essentially limited in practice – I’d expect this guy to get the rock.
Derrick Henry – Alabama
His carries are generally trending up and he’s at least 1 TD in every game this season, but his salary is trending down. He’s not consistent enough yardage wise for cash games, and he’s not cheap enough for tournaments. I think you could sprinkle Henry in – or what I might do is sub him in a lineup I’m trying to hedge against if there’s a similar priced RB.
DeAndre Washington – TT
Tournament option on DK since he has 50+ point upside.
Chris Hairston – ECU
Realistically has only about 20 fantasy point upside, but this is one of those matchups that can really set off an RB. Usually finds himself in that 15 – 20 touch range. Tulsa is one of the NCAA’s worst run defenses giving up 5.6 yards per carry and 15 rushing TDs on the season.