WPI’s Daily Fantasy NFL Football RB Picks & Strategy – Week 5

Top Shelf

RB – LeSean McCoy
The Giants have given up the 5th most yards to RBs this year. Green light for shady.

RB – Reggie Bush
BEASTED last week. Green Bay has given up about 100 yards per game to backs, with 3 TDs. Giovani Bernard looked like the rookie of the year 2 weeks ago against them. If your comfortable with Joique Bell getting some of the action – Reggie is looking like his paying … errr … I mean playing days at USC.

RB – Matt Forte
The Saints have a pretty weak run D (449 yards through 4 games) Forte is expensive, but a productive back each week.

RB – Arian Foster
The 49ers is run D is not that great. With Aldon Smith in rehab and if Willis misses another game – I like Foster this week.

Mid-Grade

RB – Marshawn Lynch
Indy is pretty solid, but this is beast mode. I don’t love him, but I don’t hate him since they should rely on the run in this game.

RB – DeMarco Murray
Denver limits RBs yards because they have teams behind in games. Murray will have chances in this game, but it’s risky because the Broncos could have the Cowboys in throw-mode all game.

RB – Danny Woodhead
Worth taking a look at, however the Raiders defense is actually pretty good against the pass (where Woodhead goes to work). The Raiders aren’t that great at run defense, so I consider this a coin-flip type play.

RB – Frank Gore
The Texans have given up the 10th most yards on the ground, but only 2 TDs. Gore had a great week last week, and may try to keep things going this week.

RB – Daryl Richardson
It’s too bad he hasn’t taken the RB job, as this is a GREAT matchup against the WORST RUNNING D in the league. The theory running around the Rams is that Richardson will share time with Pead and others this week. Richardson should be one of the cheaper RB’s this week, so make sure if you have him in your lineup – you have some studs … just in case Richardson blows it against a cupcake matchup.

RB – Darren McFadden
Got burned because I had him in last week – and watched the backup come in and get all the yards he was going to get. I’d steer clear of him this week, but if you want to play him – the matchup is good.
RB – C.J. Spiller
ZERO TD’s this year, along with sub-par play in all but 1 game means CJ’s cheaper than he was during the beginning of the year … which was mostly hype. The Browns are one of the better run-stopping teams in the league … but have given up 5 TD’s this year, which is near the top of the range. I’d stay away from Spiller – as he probably is still too expensive & too risky given his track history this year.

RB – Giovanni Bernard
Is basically the starter but it’s tough to judge his value week-to-week. Should have some opportunities this week to catch the ball, as the Patriots will likely go ahead in this game, causing the Bengals to throw (and take BJGE out).

RB – Darren Sproles
His carries will never be a big part of his game, you’re hoping for catches. Last week he had a great game, and if you want to roll the dice with Sproles again this week, it’s not the worst play.

RB – Maurice Jones-Drew
The Rams are one of the worst running defenses too (remember DeMarco Murray a few weeks ago). The problem is the Jags fall behind in most games, making it impossible to get it going with Drew. He doesn’t have a game this year over 50 yards … eeek. It could be that he’s washed up. While you can save some money with Jones-Drew this week, I consider him a risky play – as his career could be over.

House-Blend

RB – Trent Richardson
Got the load last week, Seattle isn’t going to shut him down – but they’ve only given up 2 TDs.

RB – Knowshon Moreno
The Cowboys haven’t given up a rushing TD yet this season, and they have kept RB’s in check most weeks. I’d avoid all Denver backs this week.

RB – Bilal Powell
Check Chris Ivory’s status. But even if Ivory is out again this week – Atlanta is tough against the run and they are a favorite to have the Jets behind in this game (which might increase Powell’s PPR value).

RB – Johnathan Franklin, Eddie Lacy,
Both appear they will play this week, while Starks is ruled out. The Lions are a somewhat buttery matchup for the Packers – they have given up 5 TDs through 4 weeks and over 400 yards to RBs. Franklin was a BEAST in the Bengals game, if you’re going to risk it at RB this week – he has some upside on a weaker run D. Depending on how the injury statuses play out – this could be a spot to have Franklin in for some value.

RB – Jamaal Charles – Check Injury Status
Not a great matchup this week. Vegas doesn’t like this one going big on the scoreboard, and the Titans are actually pretty solid against the run. Had Charles in last week – I’ll sit him this week.

RB – Jackson, Snelling, Rodgers
If Jackson is out – I probably would favor Snelling because he seems to be the one they give the ball to when they are just trying to run the game out. I don’t like the matchup – the Jets D is not bad against the run and they haven’t given up very many TDs.

RB – Chris Johnson
The Chiefs aren’t the best run D in the league, but they have a solid pass D.. CJ2K has ZERO TD’s this season, and his carries have been trending down. I’d sit him this week too.

RB – Ray Rice
Miami actually has a decent run defense. Teams are only averaging about 98 yards per game against them, with only 2 TDs. Rice’s injury status is clearer, but coaches will probably still hold him back a bit. I’d steer clear unless he just fits in your budget.

RB – Lamar Miller
Got enough touches last week for you to think about him, but the Ravens have given up only 1 rushing TD this year.

 

Complete List Of Week 5 Games & Picks

Week 5 — QB Picks

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